Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.188
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
18,702 predictions16,518 resolvedCal. error: 4.6%Bias: -0.066 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
22,749 predictions17,197 resolvedCal. error: 7.6%Bias: -0.089 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.221
Rolling-10
19,249 predictions16,852 resolvedCal. error: 5.9%Bias: -0.079 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.194
Brier (Good)
0.025
Rolling-10
7,643 predictions6,921 resolvedCal. error: 5.1%Bias: -0.046 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.198
Brier (Good)
0.186
Rolling-10
21,495 predictions15,120 resolvedCal. error: 5.8%Bias: -0.077 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.205
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
25,575 predictions24,768 resolvedCal. error: 4.9%Bias: -0.039 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.208
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
19,862 predictions14,156 resolvedCal. error: 7.4%Bias: -0.125 (underconfident)
Domain Performance