Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.173
Brier (Good)
0.157
Rolling-10
19,678 predictions16,880 resolvedCal. error: 7.0%Bias: -0.078 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.174
Brier (Good)
0.114
Rolling-10
12,889 predictions10,453 resolvedCal. error: 5.7%Bias: -0.066 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
16,958 predictions11,462 resolvedCal. error: 10.7%Bias: -0.111 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.186
Rolling-10
17,666 predictions13,244 resolvedCal. error: 7.6%Bias: -0.096 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.204
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
16,949 predictions16,579 resolvedCal. error: 4.2%Bias: -0.037 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.208
Brier (Fair)
0.091
Rolling-10
1,470 predictions862 resolvedCal. error: 3.7%Bias: +0.016 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.212
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
12,807 predictions8,961 resolvedCal. error: 6.3%Bias: -0.107 (underconfident)
Domain Performance